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Unlike blackjack, poker is a game of mistakes.
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Practically speaking, blackjack and live poker are the only two games, in which you can beat the casino. But the tools you need to win at each game are different as night and day.
Winning strategy in casino blackjack is a rather exact science. When you have 14 against the dealer’s 5 up, for example, you should definitely stand every time, no matter what dealer you're up against. You know proof positive that the dealer will always take a card, even if she turns up a 10 in the hole and already has you beaten with 15. Also, most blackjack bets are for even money. With such concise variables to consider, determining the optimum play is nothing more than a lengthy mathematical problem. Once it is solved, it will define all your strategy once and forever.
Poker, on the other hand, is much more complicated. Basically, that's because you play against the other players. You see, in poker, you often don't know how your opponent will play his hand. It's the same as if your blackjack dealer scored 15, looked around the board and said, "Hmm, should I take a hit here, or should I stand?"
That's how your opponents' free will in poker creates a whole new set of problems for you. When you bet, sometimes he'll fold, sometimes he'll call and sometimes he'll raise. And when he does raise, he'll occasionally be bluffing. Besides that, each player has his own set of standards when to do each. Combine that with continuously varying pot sizes and correct poker strategy becomes a very inexact science. Actually, it's more of a personal art.
It's wonderful, if you know the mathematical principle that you shouldn't call a pair of Aces with your pair of Kings. But how do you know your opponent has that pair of Aces? I mean, what if you have a pair of pocket Kings in Texas Hold'em and on the turn, the board is:
6? 8? 3? Ò?
You bet, and the next player raises. Some opponents will play their hand as though they have Aces when they actually have a 4-flush. See what I mean?
Here's the thing. Poker starts out as a gambling game and ends up as a mind game, while all other casino games are purely gambling. In the end, winning poker boils down to a combination of reading your opponent's hand, guessing how he'll play it, and measuring your chances of beating him -- either through deception or by making the best hand. Handling such diverse variables perfectly is virtually impossible.
A blackjack pro plays according to a complex, but completely the long ago worked out procedure, and because of the close percentages involved, in order to win, he must play with virtually no mistakes. But poker is, in fact, a game of mistakes. Everybody makes them. The good news is that the players err against each other. When you make a mistake in a hand, your opponent gains an advantage. Later on, when he makes a mistake against you, you regain your advantage. In the end, the player who makes the fewest mistakes wins the money.
So how do you avoid mistakes in poker? First, you need the fundamental knowledge of what hands are worth playing against what other probable hands. Then you try to determine which hands you're up against, so you can apply that fundamental knowledge.
The best way to develop these "reading" abilities is to pay close attention when you're out of the hands. Focus on one player each hand, and try to figure out what he's holding. Learn which players have what tendencies.
Does John Bulldozer like to raise on a 4-flush? Will Franck Loose call your bet with a weak hand? Does Mike Tight ever bluff? Observant judgment can make it correct to raise Franck Loose with the same hand that you should fold against Mike Tight. And if you blow an occasional "read" here or there, shake it off. Remember, you just have to make fewer mistakes than your opponent.
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